Bad poll numbers for Democrats: will there be another duel between Trump and Biden in 2024? – Politics

More than half of the planned public hearings of the committee of inquiry into the storming of the Capitol are already over. At least three more meetings have been announced, and the next one is scheduled for this Thursday. Then it should be about Donald Trump’s attempt to do that Ministry of Justice to tip the 2020 election result in his favor.

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Those who bother to follow the sessions, which are now being broadcast live by Fox News themselves, will not always brand new Experienced. But the suspensewhich the nine committee members have built up in their four hearings so far convincing.

  • They started with Trump’s refusalto acknowledge his defeat
  • illustrated the unsuccessful attempts by his advisers and lawyersto dissuade him from his “big lie” of electoral fraud,
  • proved that his conscious of defeat must have been
  • showed how he Those responsible in the key states under pressure sat
  • and try to substantiate the thesis that the Violence on January 6, 2021 no spontaneous escalation, but part of the plan was to prevent the peaceful transfer of power.

Mostly lost the sessions sober and factual, but every now and then it will be emotionally. For example on Tuesday with the statement of the black Poll worker Shaye Moss and her motherthat of Trump attacked for no reason and then persecuted by his followers.

The planned session for the will definitely get under your skin “Proud Boys” and other far-right militias as well as the Double session on the 187-minute attack on the Capitol.

Also read: Dead, Injured, Shaken: The United States and the Trauma of the Capitol Storm (T+)]

However, those three days are now surprisingly postponed been. Actually, Monday, Wednesday and Thursday of the coming week were planned for this. But on Wednesday, committee chairman Bennie Thompson said the next meetings would be after this Thursday only in July occur.

The official reason is that it is so much new evidence surfaced to reconsider the schedule. But there is much to suggest that the eagerly awaited Supreme Court decision on abortion rightst one reason for the postponement is that public attention could then quickly drift away.

The verdict is expected by the end of June. However, it may not come until the beginning of July, when the judges will still have their session in view of the 13 open cases extend. As a precaution, another one was added for this week Added announcement day: Judgments are now available on Thursday and Friday from 10 a.m.

Anyway, Republicans claim the committee would be a year and a half after January 6, 2021 no longer lure in front of the television. That the Kick-off session at prime time at least 20 million Americans watched (at the opening meeting of Trump’s first impeachment there were 14 million), they do like Rick Scott off with a shrug.

Republicans accuse Democrats of electoral tactics

The Chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committeewho was Governor of Florida for eight years before being elected to the Senate, I spoke to a Wednesday morning at a Press breakfast of the “Christian Science Monitor” experienced.

Scott described the hearings as “irrelevant”, the Democrats only wanted to win the next elections. But that will not succeed because the Americans “Inflation, Gasoline Prices, the Lack of Powdered Baby Formula, Critical Race Theory and ‘Defund the Police'” wanted to talk, not about January 6th.

“No one has approached me about it in my state,” Scott said. President Joe Biden’s values ​​are so bad that Republicans at the Midterms at least 54 seats and thus regain a clear majority in the Senate. You just have to prove to the voters that theirs is theirs “Faith, Jobs, and Raising Children” are important.

As much as you can find his statements wrong: With a view to the midterm elections in November – and to the Price boards at the petrol stations – there is much to suggest that Scott could be right.

However, the processing of what is considered by many is important “Coup attempt” classified attack on the Capitol but also by one Task of historical importance. Or, as committee chairman Thompson put it last week: The danger to American democracy is not over. Because Trump could achieve in 2024 what he failed to achieve in 2020.

Therefore, three questions are exciting:

  • Whether the committee Justice Secretary Merrick Garland directly to press charges against Trump on the basis of the committee’s evidence
  • whether he will do this and ultimately also whether that Trump discourage you from running again could.

That all override the rules of the game he has proved it often enough. Edward Luce delivers in the Financial Times Arguments why Trump definitely needs to be brought to justice.

Nevertheless, one threatens 2020 remake: Donald Trump vs Joe Biden. At the moment one can only speculate about this, because none of the candidates let themselves be looked at too closely. And maybe because they don’t know for sure yet.

But in Washington, many assume that A: Trump will run and B: Biden will then feel obliged to want to defeat him again. However, many supporters of the 79-year-old Democrat see this as only a partially good idea. So the debate when too old is too oldalso gaining momentum in liberal media, like the conservative Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal just noticed with relish.

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However, the Republican leadership issue is far from settledeven if the GOP largely agrees committed to Trumpism Has. Because whether Ron DeSantisFlorida’s ambitious and well-loved governor in his state, or the former vice president Mike Pencewhich distanced from Trump after January 6th hat: Possible alternative candidates are warming up.

Senator Scott, DeSantis’ predecessor, who says he speaks to Trump every two to three weeks, said on Wednesday that the voters would decide this question and that he had no preferences. When asked if he thinks Trump will run again, Scott said he doesn’t know: “But have you ever heard him say he won’t run again in 2024?” “Referendum on Biden” would.

We also asked the senator what he thought of the just passed Party manifesto of the GOP in Texas stand. The state party has in it detained among other thingsthat Biden an illegitimate President, Homosexuality an “abnormal way of life” be, Life begins at the time of conception (which would even ban the morning-after pill) and that Texas reserves the right to secede from the United States.

Scott’s answer: Each national association has the right to write its own program. But the GOP is an “inclusive” party, and the language of Texas Republicans is not. Sometimes you have to very carefully to see whether extreme tendencies in the party meet with any opposition.

Even when asked what he said about it controversial video from Eric Griens, Senate nominee in Missouri, said Scott simply said he hadn’t seen it but didn’t think the party should glorify violence. Ultimately, Greitens would also the voters decide.

The election spot published on Monday shows Greitens, rifle in hand, alongside heavily armed special forces, storming a house to look for “RINOs”, “Republicans in name only”, i.e. people who only appear are conservative on paper.

“Join the MAGA team. Get a RINO hunting permit“, explains the former elite soldier in the video. Greitens resigned as governor of Missouri in 2018 to forestall impeachment proceedings that had been initiated over two criminal cases. Apparently he doesn’t want to end his political career – and his party isn’t forcing him to either.

Meanwhile, Congress is making progress on the planned tightening of gun laws. Drafted by senators from both parties, 80-page billwhich among other things extended background checks for gun buyers under the age of 21, as well as billions for school security and better psychiatric care in the country, took on Wednesday evening first hurdle.

64 senators voted for it. Rick Scott was one of the 34 Republican senators who voted against. That was a preliminary vote, Scott explained, he had to get the exact one Have a look at the text of the law, which they had only received shortly before. Under no circumstances will he vote to restrict the Second Amendment, he said.

The fact that the law is already in place speaks in favor of passing the law significantly defused became. Biden’s campaign promise to ban the sale of assault rifles to private individuals is not included. Nevertheless, the Democrats are already celebrating the compromise “most important anti-gun violence law in almost 30 years” (Senator Chris Murphy, who is negotiating on the Democratic side).

Republican negotiator Senator John Cornyn assured concerned party colleagues that Bipartisan Safer Communities Act focus on school safety and mental health services and include “no new restrictions on law-abiding gun owners”. Why so many a few weeks after the massacres in Buffalo (New York) and Uvalde (Texas) not satisfied, I can well understand.

Speaking of Uvalde: The investigations into the mass shooting at a primary school almost a month ago are showing more and more clearly that how gigantic the police fail here Has. You can read more about this here. On Wednesday evening the Elementary school security chief suspended from his service.

Incidentally, there are also area code decisions in the city of Washington itself. Mayor Muriel Bowser probably secured one in the primaries on Tuesday third term. She doesn’t have to fear a Republican opponent in the November election: Die capital city is one of the most reliable liberal strongholds.

Bowser would then be the first mayor to do so since the legendary Mayor Marion Barry. She became nationally known at the height of the “Black Lives Matter” movement as an opponent of Trump and their handling of the pandemic.

However, rampant gun violence is one of the problems with which it has had little success so far. In which “March for Our Lives”the protest for stricter gun laws almost two weeks ago, the mayor was therefore also sharply criticized on the open stage right after she spoke herself.

Four years earlier, when survivors of the school massacre in Parkland/Florida protested for the first time nationwide and also in Washington, she was still for her clear announcements been celebrated.

That brings me to the end of this newsletter. Thank you for your interest and I hope that you will be there again next week. Until then, all the best!

Yours, Juliane Schäuble
USA correspondent

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